Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.082395 0.092213 0.102384 0.113680 0.125846 0.138528 0.152720
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.065566 0.079926 0.095683 0.114132 0.135012 0.157788 0.184382
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.052659 0.069671 0.089376 0.113568 0.142150 0.174531 0.213666
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.046340 0.065846 0.089504 0.119708 0.156634 0.199714 0.253155
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.041561 0.063041 0.090189 0.126049 0.171177 0.225123 0.293474
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.035463 0.057577 0.086733 0.126566 0.178124 0.241196 0.322705
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.029331 0.051169 0.081249 0.123764 0.180332 0.251090 0.344259
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.026716 0.049368 0.081658 0.128499 0.192124 0.273024 0.381009
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.024033 0.047076 0.081069 0.131645 0.201716 0.292202 0.414527
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.021394 0.044484 0.079740 0.133517 0.209461 0.308992 0.445168
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.018806 0.041612 0.077684 0.134096 0.215276 0.323207 0.472590
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018567 0.042689 0.081667 0.143537 0.233565 0.354260 0.522430
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016054 0.039573 0.079058 0.143392 0.238817 0.368593 0.551479
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014224 0.037467 0.077913 0.145401 0.247243 0.387519 0.587181
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012268 0.034811 0.075610 0.145450 0.252776 0.402579 0.618012
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011752 0.034995 0.078125 0.153143 0.269725 0.433768 0.671158
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011281 0.035195 0.080643 0.160888 0.286901 0.465543 0.725548
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009898 0.033149 0.078942 0.161595 0.293367 0.482193 0.759284
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008201 0.030040 0.074987 0.158296 0.293520 0.489754 0.780484
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007717 0.029784 0.076354 0.163964 0.307586 0.517452 0.829997
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007073 0.029002 0.076625 0.167722 0.318715 0.541039 0.874036
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006344 0.027852 0.076058 0.169955 0.327441 0.561218 0.913498
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.005560 0.026371 0.074678 0.170646 0.333669 0.577775 0.947993